Uncertainty and Interpretability Studies in Soft Computing with an Application to Complex Manufacturing Systems

In systems modelling and control theory, the benefits of applying neural networks have been extensively studied. Particularly in manufacturing processes, such as the prediction of mechanical properties of heat treated steels. However, modern industrial processes usually involve large amounts of data and a range of non-linear effects and interactions that might hinder their model interpretation. For example, in steel manufacturing the understanding of complex mechanisms that lead to the mechanical properties which are generated by the heat treatment process is vital. This knowledge is not available via numerical models, therefore an experienced metallurgist estimates the model parameters to obtain the required properties. This human knowledge and perception sometimes can be imprecise leading to a kind of cognitive uncertainty such as vagueness and ambiguity when making decisions. In system classification, this may be translated into a system deficiency - for example, small input changes in system attributes may result in a sudden and inappropriate change for class assignation. In order to address this issue, practitioners and researches have developed systems that are functional equivalent to fuzzy systems and neural networks. Such systems provide a morphology that mimics the human ability of reasoning via the qualitative aspects of fuzzy information rather by its quantitative analysis. Furthermore, these models are able to learn from data sets and to describe the associated interactions and non-linearities in the data. However, in a like-manner to neural networks, a neural fuzzy system may suffer from a lost of interpretability and transparency when making decisions. This is mainly due to the application of adaptive approaches for its parameter identification. Since the RBF-NN can be treated as a fuzzy inference engine, this thesis presents several methodologies that quantify different types of uncertainty and its influence on the model interpretability and transparency of the RBF-NN during its parameter identification. Particularly, three kind of uncertainty sources in relation to the RBF-NN are studied, namely: entropy, fuzziness and ambiguity. First, a methodology based on Granular Computing (GrC), neutrosophic sets and the RBF-NN is presented. The objective of this methodology is to quantify the hesitation produced during the granular compression at the low level of interpretability of the RBF-NN via the use of neutrosophic sets. This study also aims to enhance the disitnguishability and hence the transparency of the initial fuzzy partition. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology is tested against a real case study for the prediction of the properties of heat-treated steels. Secondly, a new Interval Type-2 Radial Basis Function Neural Network (IT2-RBF-NN) is introduced as a new modelling framework. The IT2-RBF-NN takes advantage of the functional equivalence between FLSs of type-1 and the RBF-NN so as to construct an Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic System (IT2-FLS) that is able to deal with linguistic uncertainty and perceptions in the RBF-NN rule base. This gave raise to different combinations when optimising the IT2-RBF-NN parameters. Finally, a twofold study for uncertainty assessment at the high-level of interpretability of the RBF-NN is provided. On the one hand, the first study proposes a new methodology to quantify the a) fuzziness and the b) ambiguity at each RU, and during the formation of the rule base via the use of neutrosophic sets theory. The aim of this methodology is to calculate the associated fuzziness of each rule and then the ambiguity related to each normalised consequence of the fuzzy rules that result from the overlapping and to the choice with one-to-many decisions respectively. On the other hand, a second study proposes a new methodology to quantify the entropy and the fuzziness that come out from the redundancy phenomenon during the parameter identification. To conclude this work, the experimental results obtained through the application of the proposed methodologies for modelling two well-known benchmark data sets and for the prediction of mechanical properties of heat-treated steels conducted to publication of three articles in two peer-reviewed journals and one international conference

Learning from sensory predictions for autonomous and adaptive exploration of object shape with a tactile robot

Humans use information from sensory predictions, together with current observations, for the optimal exploration and recognition of their surrounding environment. In this work, two novel adaptive perception strategies are proposed for accurate and fast exploration of object shape with a robotic tactile sensor. These strategies called (1) adaptive weighted prior and (2) adaptive weighted posterior, combine tactile sensory predictions and current sensor observations to autonomously adapt the accuracy and speed of active Bayesian perception in object exploration tasks. Sensory predictions, obtained from a forward model, use a novel Predicted Information Gain method. These predictions are used by the tactile robot to analyse ‘what would have happened’ if certain decisions ‘would have been made’ at previous decision times. The accuracy of predictions is evaluated and controlled by a confidence parameter, to ensure that the adaptive perception strategies rely more on predictions when they are accurate, and more on current sensory observations otherwise. This work is systematically validated with the recognition of angle and position data extracted from the exploration of object shape, using a biomimetic tactile sensor and a robotic platform. The exploration task implements the contour following procedure used by humans to extract object shape with the sense of touch. The validation process is performed with the adaptive weighted strategies and active perception alone. The adaptive approach achieved higher angle accuracy (2.8 deg) over active perception (5 deg). The position accuracy was similar for all perception methods (0.18 mm). The reaction time or number of tactile contacts, needed by the tactile robot to make a decision, was improved by the adaptive perception (1 tap) over active perception (5 taps). The results show that the adaptive perception strategies can enable future robots to adapt their performance, while improving the trade-off between accuracy and reaction time, for tactile exploration, interaction and recognition tasks

Identification of Cognitive Workload during Surgical Tasks with Multimodal Deep Learning

The operating room (OR) is a dynamic and complex environment consisting of a multidisciplinary team working together in a high take environment to provide safe and efficient patient care. Additionally, surgeons are frequently exposed to multiple psycho-organisational stressors that may cause negative repercussions on their immediate technical performance and long-term health. Many factors can therefore contribute to increasing the Cognitive Workload (CWL) such as temporal pressures, unfamiliar anatomy or distractions in the OR. In this paper, a cascade of two machine learning approaches is suggested for the multimodal recognition of CWL in four different surgical task conditions. Firstly, a model based on the concept of transfer learning is used to identify if a surgeon is experiencing any CWL. Secondly, a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) uses this information to identify different degrees of CWL associated to each surgical task. The suggested multimodal approach considers adjacent signals from electroencephalogram (EEG), functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) and eye pupil diameter. The concatenation of signals allows complex correlations in terms of time (temporal) and channel location (spatial). Data collection was performed by a Multi-sensing AI Environment for Surgical Task & Role Optimisation platform (MAESTRO) developed at the Hamlyn Centre, Imperial College London. To compare the performance of the proposed methodology, a number of state-of-art machine learning techniques have been implemented. The tests show that the proposed model has a precision of 93%

Azimuthal anisotropy of charged jet production in root s(NN)=2.76 TeV Pb-Pb collisions

We present measurements of the azimuthal dependence of charged jet production in central and semi-central root s(NN) = 2.76 TeV Pb-Pb collisions with respect to the second harmonic event plane, quantified as nu(ch)(2) (jet). Jet finding is performed employing the anti-k(T) algorithm with a resolution parameter R = 0.2 using charged tracks from the ALICE tracking system. The contribution of the azimuthal anisotropy of the underlying event is taken into account event-by-event. The remaining (statistical) region-to-region fluctuations are removed on an ensemble basis by unfolding the jet spectra for different event plane orientations independently. Significant non-zero nu(ch)(2) (jet) is observed in semi-central collisions (30-50% centrality) for 20 <p(T)(ch) (jet) <90 GeV/c. The azimuthal dependence of the charged jet production is similar to the dependence observed for jets comprising both charged and neutral fragments, and compatible with measurements of the nu(2) of single charged particles at high p(T). Good agreement between the data and predictions from JEWEL, an event generator simulating parton shower evolution in the presence of a dense QCD medium, is found in semi-central collisions. (C) 2015 CERN for the benefit of the ALICE Collaboration. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).Peer reviewe

Forward-central two-particle correlations in p-Pb collisions at root s(NN)=5.02 TeV

Two-particle angular correlations between trigger particles in the forward pseudorapidity range (2.5 2GeV/c. (C) 2015 CERN for the benefit of the ALICE Collaboration. Published by Elsevier B. V.Peer reviewe